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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

47%

Crewe

2.12

24%

Draw

4.15

29%

Cheltenham

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Crewe xG

Total xG

3.11

1.34

Cheltenham xG

47%
24%
29%
CreweDrawCheltenham

2.12

47%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

26%

Crewe

3.83

17%

Cheltenham

5.85

Win to Nil

12%

Crewe

8.13

5%

Cheltenham

20.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.0 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.9 10.6 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.1 5.5 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.766
λ Away (xG) 1.342
Total xG 3.108
League avg home goals 1.301
League avg away goals 1.224
Crewe attack strength 1.082
Crewe defence strength 1.209
Cheltenham attack strength 0.907
Cheltenham defence strength 1.255
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69