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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
51%
1.98
31%
3.18
18%
5.56
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.0%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Crewe xG
Total xG
1.98
0.68
Carlisle xG
CreweDrawCarlisle
1.98
51%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
5.56
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.70
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
51%
1.96
27%
3.70
Win to Nil
26%
3.88
5%
20.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.0 | 12.2 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.308
λ Away (xG)
0.675
Total xG
1.983
League avg home goals
1.323
League avg away goals
1.161
Crewe attack strength
0.944
Crewe defence strength
0.819
Carlisle attack strength
0.710
Carlisle defence strength
1.047
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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