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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

51%

Crewe

1.97

28%

Draw

3.54

21%

Barrow

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.27

0.83

Barrow xG

51%
28%
21%
CreweDrawBarrow

1.97

51%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

44%

Crewe

2.30

24%

Barrow

4.21

Win to Nil

22%

Crewe

4.54

5%

Barrow

20.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 8.6 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.9 12.4 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.7 8.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.1 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 0.832
Total xG 2.270
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.073
Crewe attack strength 1.002
Crewe defence strength 1.104
Barrow attack strength 0.702
Barrow defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 77