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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

The Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

31%

Crawley Town

3.18

27%

Draw

3.64

41%

Notts County

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.50

1.35

Notts County xG

31%
27%
41%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County

3.18

31%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

26%

Crawley Town

3.87

32%

Notts County

3.16

Win to Nil

8%

Crawley Town

12.31

13%

Notts County

7.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 11.1 7.5 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 9.4 12.7 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.4 7.3 5.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 1.354
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.212
Crawley Town attack strength 1.028
Crawley Town defence strength 1.174
Notts County attack strength 0.952
Notts County defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 70