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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

The Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crawley Town Win

38%

Crawley Town

2.61

30%

Draw

3.33

32%

Newport County

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.35

1.11

Newport County xG

38%
30%
32%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County

2.61

38%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

33%

Crawley Town

3.03

29%

Newport County

3.47

Win to Nil

13%

Crawley Town

7.91

9%

Newport County

10.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.6 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.1 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 8.2 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.243
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.351
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.039
Crawley Town attack strength 0.867
Crawley Town defence strength 1.150
Newport County attack strength 0.927
Newport County defence strength 1.157
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 47