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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

The Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

25%

Crawley Town

4.07

29%

Draw

3.44

46%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.41

1.43

Milton Keynes Dons xG

25%
29%
46%
Crawley TownDrawMilton Keynes Dons

4.07

25%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

24%

Crawley Town

4.20

38%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.66

Win to Nil

6%

Crawley Town

17.07

17%

Milton Keynes Dons

5.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 12.8 9.2 4.4 1.6 0.5
1 8.8 12.6 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.3 6.2 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.980
λ Away (xG) 1.434
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.095
Crawley Town attack strength 0.826
Crawley Town defence strength 1.262
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.038
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 49