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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

JobServe Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

45%

Colchester

2.20

29%

Draw

3.46

26%

Port Vale

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.13

0.87

Port Vale xG

45%
29%
26%
ColchesterDrawPort Vale

2.20

45%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

42%

Colchester

2.39

28%

Port Vale

3.53

Win to Nil

19%

Colchester

5.25

7%

Port Vale

13.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 10.3 4.5 1.3 0.3
1 15.0 13.0 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.261
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 2.131
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.058
Colchester attack strength 0.949
Colchester defence strength 0.833
Port Vale attack strength 0.987
Port Vale defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 34