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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

JobServe Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

40%

Colchester

2.52

27%

Draw

3.65

33%

Notts County

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.46

1.16

Notts County xG

40%
27%
33%
ColchesterDrawNotts County

2.52

40%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

31%

Colchester

3.20

27%

Notts County

3.67

Win to Nil

12%

Colchester

8.07

9%

Notts County

11.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.9 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.2
1 11.1 12.9 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.4 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.463
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.075
Colchester attack strength 1.049
Colchester defence strength 0.833
Notts County attack strength 1.298
Notts County defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86