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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Colchester Win
50%
2.00
27%
3.72
23%
4.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Colchester xG
Total xG
2.59
1.00
Newport County xG
ColchesterDrawNewport County
2.00
50%
Home win
3.72
27%
Draw
4.34
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.95
49%
BTTS No
2.05
Clean Sheet
37%
2.73
20%
4.89
Win to Nil
18%
5.44
5%
21.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.588
λ Away (xG)
1.003
Total xG
2.591
League avg home goals
1.336
League avg away goals
1.260
Colchester attack strength
1.008
Colchester defence strength
0.889
Newport County attack strength
0.895
Newport County defence strength
1.179
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66