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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

JobServe Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

44%

Colchester

2.27

33%

Draw

3.03

23%

Crewe

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Colchester xG

Total xG

1.78

0.69

Crewe xG

44%
33%
23%
ColchesterDrawCrewe

2.27

44%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.98

66%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

50%

Colchester

2.00

34%

Crewe

2.96

Win to Nil

22%

Colchester

4.54

8%

Crewe

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9 11.7 4.1 0.9 0.2
1 18.3 12.7 4.4 1.0 0.2
2 9.9 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.084
λ Away (xG) 0.695
Total xG 1.779
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.120
Colchester attack strength 1.002
Colchester defence strength 0.761
Crewe attack strength 0.815
Crewe defence strength 0.810
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88