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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Colchester Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

33%

Colchester

3.03

27%

Draw

3.64

40%

Chesterfield

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.42

1.27

Chesterfield xG

33%
27%
40%
ColchesterDrawChesterfield

3.03

33%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

28%

Colchester

3.58

32%

Chesterfield

3.13

Win to Nil

9%

Colchester

10.85

13%

Chesterfield

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.4 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 10.2 13.0 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.8 7.4 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.2 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.140
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.415
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.166
Colchester attack strength 0.818
Colchester defence strength 1.017
Chesterfield attack strength 1.076
Chesterfield defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56