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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Tue 14 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Colchester Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

53%

Colchester

1.89

28%

Draw

3.60

19%

Accrington ST

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.10

0.72

Accrington ST xG

53%
28%
19%
ColchesterDrawAccrington ST

1.89

53%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

49%

Colchester

2.05

25%

Accrington ST

3.98

Win to Nil

26%

Colchester

3.87

5%

Accrington ST

20.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 8.8 3.1 0.8 0.1
1 17.0 12.1 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.7 8.4 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.4 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 0.716
Total xG 2.097
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.179
Colchester attack strength 1.143
Colchester defence strength 0.854
Accrington ST attack strength 0.711
Accrington ST defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88