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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

15:30

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

43%

Chesterfield

2.33

27%

Draw

3.77

30%

Walsall

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.70

1.21

Walsall xG

43%
27%
30%
ChesterfieldDrawWalsall

2.33

43%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

30%

Chesterfield

3.36

23%

Walsall

4.42

Win to Nil

13%

Chesterfield

7.82

7%

Walsall

14.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.0 12.1 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 1.213
Total xG 2.699
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.139
Chesterfield attack strength 1.301
Chesterfield defence strength 1.145
Walsall attack strength 0.930
Walsall defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 92