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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

56%

Chesterfield

1.79

23%

Draw

4.34

21%

Tranmere

4.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.82

1.02

Tranmere xG

56%
23%
21%
ChesterfieldDrawTranmere

1.79

56%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.72

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

36%

Chesterfield

2.77

16%

Tranmere

6.07

Win to Nil

20%

Chesterfield

4.96

3%

Tranmere

28.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.1 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 10.9 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.8 5.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 2.821
League avg home goals 1.228
League avg away goals 1.172
Chesterfield attack strength 1.072
Chesterfield defence strength 1.006
Tranmere attack strength 0.863
Tranmere defence strength 1.369
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87