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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

45%

Chesterfield

2.21

24%

Draw

4.14

31%

Salford City

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.95

1.31

Salford City xG

45%
24%
31%
ChesterfieldDrawSalford City

2.21

45%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.28

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

27%

Chesterfield

3.69

19%

Salford City

5.16

Win to Nil

12%

Chesterfield

8.15

6%

Salford City

16.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.9 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 11.3 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 5.0 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 1.306
Total xG 2.947
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.169
Chesterfield attack strength 1.307
Chesterfield defence strength 0.995
Salford City attack strength 1.123
Salford City defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57