🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chesterfield Win
37%
2.69
33%
3.07
30%
3.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
0 – 0
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.11
Chesterfield xG
Total xG
2.09
0.98
Port Vale xG
ChesterfieldDrawPort Vale
2.69
37%
Home win
3.07
33%
Draw
3.32
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
38%
2.66
33%
3.05
Win to Nil
14%
7.14
10%
10.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.115
λ Away (xG)
0.977
Total xG
2.092
League avg home goals
1.312
League avg away goals
1.166
Chesterfield attack strength
0.883
Chesterfield defence strength
1.043
Port Vale attack strength
0.804
Port Vale defence strength
0.962
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 26