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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chesterfield Win
58%
1.72
24%
4.11
18%
5.69
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.5%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.78
Chesterfield xG
Total xG
2.66
0.88
Morecambe xG
ChesterfieldDrawMorecambe
1.72
58%
Home win
4.11
24%
Draw
5.69
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.03
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
42%
2.41
17%
5.94
Win to Nil
24%
4.15
3%
33.82
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.5 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.782
λ Away (xG)
0.879
Total xG
2.661
League avg home goals
1.287
League avg away goals
1.142
Chesterfield attack strength
1.205
Chesterfield defence strength
1.144
Morecambe attack strength
0.673
Morecambe defence strength
1.149
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 90