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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 14 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

33%

Chesterfield

3.04

29%

Draw

3.42

38%

Grimsby

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.18

1.14

Grimsby xG

33%
29%
38%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby

3.04

33%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

32%

Chesterfield

3.13

35%

Grimsby

2.84

Win to Nil

10%

Chesterfield

9.53

13%

Grimsby

7.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 12.8 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.043
λ Away (xG) 1.142
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.179
Chesterfield attack strength 1.029
Chesterfield defence strength 1.001
Grimsby attack strength 0.968
Grimsby defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 87