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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fleetwood Town Win

38%

Chesterfield

2.67

23%

Draw

4.37

40%

Fleetwood Town

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

3.44

1.75

Fleetwood Town xG

38%
23%
40%
ChesterfieldDrawFleetwood Town

2.67

38%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.09

Clean Sheet

17%

Chesterfield

5.74

18%

Fleetwood Town

5.45

Win to Nil

7%

Chesterfield

15.30

7%

Fleetwood Town

13.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.6 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.4
1 5.4 9.5 8.3 4.8 2.1 0.7
2 4.6 8.0 7.0 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 2.6 4.5 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.4
4 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.695
λ Away (xG) 1.747
Total xG 3.442
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.122
Chesterfield attack strength 1.051
Chesterfield defence strength 1.140
Fleetwood Town attack strength 1.366
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.224
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41