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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Thu 6 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Doncaster Win

31%

Chesterfield

3.19

30%

Draw

3.38

39%

Doncaster

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.42

1.29

Doncaster xG

31%
30%
39%
ChesterfieldDrawDoncaster

3.19

31%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

27%

Chesterfield

3.64

32%

Doncaster

3.10

Win to Nil

9%

Chesterfield

11.60

13%

Doncaster

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.5 7.4 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.7 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 2.422
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.159
Chesterfield attack strength 0.984
Chesterfield defence strength 0.950
Doncaster attack strength 1.172
Doncaster defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 75