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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

41%

Chesterfield

2.45

26%

Draw

3.86

33%

Crewe

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.67

1.25

Crewe xG

41%
26%
33%
ChesterfieldDrawCrewe

2.45

41%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

29%

Chesterfield

3.50

24%

Crewe

4.11

Win to Nil

12%

Chesterfield

8.59

8%

Crewe

12.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.3 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.7 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.413
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.666
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.200
Chesterfield attack strength 1.068
Chesterfield defence strength 0.973
Crewe attack strength 1.073
Crewe defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90