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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

69%

Chesterfield

1.45

20%

Draw

4.98

11%

Crawley Town

9.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.64

0.65

Crawley Town xG

69%
20%
ChesterfieldDrawCrawley Town

1.45

69%

Home win

4.98

20%

Draw

9.09

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

52%

Chesterfield

1.92

14%

Crawley Town

7.33

Win to Nil

36%

Chesterfield

2.78

2%

Crawley Town

66.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.2 9.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.1 9.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
3 9.4 6.1 2.0 0.4 0.1
4 4.7 3.0 1.0 0.2
5 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.992
λ Away (xG) 0.650
Total xG 2.642
League avg home goals 1.212
League avg away goals 1.134
Chesterfield attack strength 1.296
Chesterfield defence strength 0.924
Crawley Town attack strength 0.620
Crawley Town defence strength 1.269
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 5