Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

47%

Chesterfield

2.11

27%

Draw

3.64

25%

Bradford

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.59

1.06

Bradford xG

47%
27%
25%
ChesterfieldDrawBradford

2.11

47%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

35%

Chesterfield

2.87

22%

Bradford

4.65

Win to Nil

17%

Chesterfield

6.06

5%

Bradford

18.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.9 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.1 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.3 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.537
λ Away (xG) 1.056
Total xG 2.593
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.123
Chesterfield attack strength 1.123
Chesterfield defence strength 1.022
Bradford attack strength 0.920
Bradford defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 89