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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

62%

Chesterfield

1.62

23%

Draw

4.39

16%

Accrington ST

6.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.55

0.77

Accrington ST xG

62%
23%
16%
ChesterfieldDrawAccrington ST

1.62

62%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

6.40

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

47%

Chesterfield

2.15

17%

Accrington ST

5.94

Win to Nil

29%

Chesterfield

3.49

3%

Accrington ST

37.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 6.0 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 14.0 10.7 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.4 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 2.5 1.0 0.2
5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.781
λ Away (xG) 0.765
Total xG 2.546
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.180
Chesterfield attack strength 1.270
Chesterfield defence strength 0.885
Accrington ST attack strength 0.733
Accrington ST defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60