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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Swindon Town Win
27%
3.67
32%
3.15
41%
2.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
Carlisle xG
Total xG
2.15
1.21
Swindon Town xG
CarlisleDrawSwindon Town
3.67
27%
Home win
3.15
32%
Draw
2.44
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
30%
3.35
39%
2.55
Win to Nil
8%
12.30
16%
6.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 14.1 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.938
λ Away (xG)
1.210
Total xG
2.148
League avg home goals
1.298
League avg away goals
1.123
Carlisle attack strength
0.621
Carlisle defence strength
1.151
Swindon Town attack strength
0.936
Swindon Town defence strength
1.164
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
27 / 75