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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Brunton Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

21%

Carlisle

4.74

23%

Draw

4.34

56%

Salford City

1.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Carlisle xG

Total xG

3.07

1.94

Salford City xG

21%
23%
56%
CarlisleDrawSalford City

4.74

21%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

1.79

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

14%

Carlisle

6.99

32%

Salford City

3.08

Win to Nil

3%

Carlisle

33.10

18%

Salford City

5.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 9.0 8.8 5.7 2.8 1.1
1 5.2 10.2 9.9 6.4 3.1 1.2
2 2.9 5.7 5.6 3.6 1.7 0.7
3 1.1 2.1 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.3
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.944
Total xG 3.069
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.138
Carlisle attack strength 0.923
Carlisle defence strength 1.331
Salford City attack strength 1.284
Salford City defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 91