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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Brunton Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

24%

Carlisle

4.18

33%

Draw

3.00

43%

Gillingham

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.74

Carlisle xG

Total xG

1.84

1.09

Gillingham xG

24%
33%
43%
CarlisleDrawGillingham

4.18

24%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.80

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

33%

Carlisle

2.99

47%

Gillingham

2.11

Win to Nil

8%

Carlisle

12.47

20%

Gillingham

4.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.9 17.4 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.0 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 4.4 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.745
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 1.839
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.072
Carlisle attack strength 0.589
Carlisle defence strength 1.365
Gillingham attack strength 0.748
Gillingham defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 76