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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Accrington ST Win
23%
4.33
27%
3.71
50%
2.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.0%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
0 – 2
9.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Carlisle xG
Total xG
2.57
1.58
Accrington ST xG
CarlisleDrawAccrington ST
4.33
23%
Home win
3.71
27%
Draw
2.00
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
21%
4.84
37%
2.71
Win to Nil
5%
20.92
18%
5.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 12.0 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.997
λ Away (xG)
1.576
Total xG
2.573
League avg home goals
1.314
League avg away goals
1.168
Carlisle attack strength
0.558
Carlisle defence strength
1.164
Accrington ST attack strength
1.160
Accrington ST defence strength
1.360
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
21 / 66