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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol Rovers Win

53%

Bristol Rovers

1.89

28%

Draw

3.58

19%

Crawley Town

5.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

2.07

0.70

Crawley Town xG

53%
28%
19%
Bristol RoversDrawCrawley Town

1.89

53%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

5.23

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

50%

Bristol Rovers

2.02

25%

Crawley Town

3.94

Win to Nil

26%

Bristol Rovers

3.81

5%

Crawley Town

20.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 8.8 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 17.2 12.1 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.8 8.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 0.702
Total xG 2.073
League avg home goals 1.218
League avg away goals 1.171
Bristol Rovers attack strength 1.055
Bristol Rovers defence strength 0.990
Crawley Town attack strength 0.605
Crawley Town defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42