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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Holker Street

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

30%

Barrow

3.29

30%

Draw

3.34

40%

Notts County

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Barrow xG

Total xG

2.37

1.28

Notts County xG

30%
30%
40%
BarrowDrawNotts County

3.29

30%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

28%

Barrow

3.59

34%

Notts County

2.97

Win to Nil

8%

Barrow

11.82

13%

Notts County

7.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 12.0 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.3
1 10.2 13.0 8.3 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 5.6 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.089
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 2.368
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.090
Barrow attack strength 0.915
Barrow defence strength 1.081
Notts County attack strength 1.086
Notts County defence strength 0.932
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48