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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Holker Street

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

25%

Barrow

4.02

31%

Draw

3.25

44%

Gillingham

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Barrow xG

Total xG

1.93

1.15

Gillingham xG

25%
31%
44%
BarrowDrawGillingham

4.02

25%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

32%

Barrow

3.16

46%

Gillingham

2.18

Win to Nil

8%

Barrow

12.73

20%

Gillingham

4.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 16.7 9.6 3.7 1.1 0.2
1 11.3 13.0 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 4.4 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.781
λ Away (xG) 1.152
Total xG 1.933
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.187
Barrow attack strength 0.692
Barrow defence strength 1.142
Gillingham attack strength 0.850
Gillingham defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 78