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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

63%

AFC Wimbledon

1.59

22%

Draw

4.59

15%

Swindon Town

6.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

AFC Wimbledon xG

Total xG

2.91

0.90

Swindon Town xG

63%
22%
15%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town

1.59

63%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

6.50

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

41%

AFC Wimbledon

2.45

13%

Swindon Town

7.49

Win to Nil

26%

AFC Wimbledon

3.90

2%

Swindon Town

48.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.1
1 11.0 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.4 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.014
λ Away (xG) 0.896
Total xG 2.910
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.189
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.185
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.826
Swindon Town attack strength 0.913
Swindon Town defence strength 1.332
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67