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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

12:30

Venue

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

34%

AFC Wimbledon

2.95

30%

Draw

3.33

36%

Notts County

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

AFC Wimbledon xG

Total xG

2.22

1.13

Notts County xG

34%
30%
36%
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County

2.95

34%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

32%

AFC Wimbledon

3.10

34%

Notts County

2.97

Win to Nil

11%

AFC Wimbledon

9.12

12%

Notts County

8.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 12.3 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 11.8 13.4 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.4 7.3 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.218
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.138
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.907
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.792
Notts County attack strength 1.253
Notts County defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92