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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Notts County Win
31%
3.22
31%
3.26
38%
2.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Accrington ST xG
Total xG
2.01
1.07
Notts County xG
Accrington STDrawNotts County
3.22
31%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
2.61
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
11%
9.41
15%
6.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.934
λ Away (xG)
1.072
Total xG
2.006
League avg home goals
1.225
League avg away goals
1.185
Accrington ST attack strength
0.855
Accrington ST defence strength
0.889
Notts County attack strength
1.018
Notts County defence strength
0.892
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
82 / 82