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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

54%

Accrington ST

1.85

27%

Draw

3.71

19%

Gillingham

5.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.17

0.73

Gillingham xG

54%
27%
19%
Accrington STDrawGillingham

1.85

54%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

5.23

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

48%

Accrington ST

2.09

24%

Gillingham

4.22

Win to Nil

26%

Accrington ST

3.87

5%

Gillingham

22.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 8.4 3.1 0.8 0.1
1 16.4 12.0 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 11.8 8.7 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 5.6 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 0.735
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.086
Accrington ST attack strength 1.054
Accrington ST defence strength 0.958
Gillingham attack strength 0.706
Gillingham defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 81