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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

46%

Accrington ST

2.17

25%

Draw

4.07

29%

Fleetwood Town

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.85

1.24

Fleetwood Town xG

46%
25%
29%
Accrington STDrawFleetwood Town

2.17

46%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

29%

Accrington ST

3.44

20%

Fleetwood Town

5.00

Win to Nil

13%

Accrington ST

7.46

6%

Fleetwood Town

17.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 11.6 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.3 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.610
λ Away (xG) 1.235
Total xG 2.845
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.068
Accrington ST attack strength 0.981
Accrington ST defence strength 0.928
Fleetwood Town attack strength 1.246
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.308
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 39