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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Accrington ST Win
45%
2.24
29%
3.43
26%
3.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.7%
Home win
0 – 0
9.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Accrington ST xG
Total xG
2.39
1.00
Carlisle xG
Accrington STDrawCarlisle
2.24
45%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
3.81
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.06
51%
BTTS No
1.94
Clean Sheet
37%
2.73
25%
3.99
Win to Nil
16%
6.12
7%
15.20
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 12.8 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.384
λ Away (xG)
1.004
Total xG
2.388
League avg home goals
1.302
League avg away goals
1.123
Accrington ST attack strength
0.997
Accrington ST defence strength
1.195
Carlisle attack strength
0.749
Carlisle defence strength
1.067
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
89 / 43