Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Thu 23 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

STōK Cae Ras

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

40%

Wrexham

2.47

29%

Draw

3.41

30%

Birmingham

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Wrexham xG

Total xG

2.28

1.04

Birmingham xG

40%
29%
30%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham

2.47

40%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

35%

Wrexham

2.82

29%

Birmingham

3.47

Win to Nil

14%

Wrexham

6.97

9%

Birmingham

11.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.6 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 13.2 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.2 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.282
League avg home goals 1.254
League avg away goals 1.177
Wrexham attack strength 1.152
Wrexham defence strength 0.742
Birmingham attack strength 1.187
Birmingham defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 24