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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

The Brick Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wigan Win

48%

Wigan

2.09

31%

Draw

3.26

21%

Cardiff

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Wigan xG

Total xG

1.88

0.69

Cardiff xG

48%
31%
21%
WiganDrawCardiff

2.09

48%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.89

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

50%

Wigan

1.99

30%

Cardiff

3.28

Win to Nil

24%

Wigan

4.15

7%

Cardiff

15.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3 10.5 3.6 0.8 0.1
1 18.2 12.5 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 10.8 7.4 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 2.9 1.0 0.2
4 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 0.688
Total xG 1.876
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.072
Wigan attack strength 1.113
Wigan defence strength 0.822
Cardiff attack strength 0.781
Cardiff defence strength 0.749
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 8