🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Stockport County's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Stockport County and Leyton Orient finished level at 0-0 at Edgeley Park, Regular Season - 31, in the League One. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Stockport County 2.03 xG and Leyton Orient 1.20 xG, a combined 3.23. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Stockport County fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Leyton Orient landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stockport County attack 1.10 / defence 1.15 against Leyton Orient attack 0.95 / defence 1.36, drawn from 75/75 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Stockport County 57% | Draw 21% | Leyton Orient 22%, with Stockport County to win its most likely call at 57%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 21% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and missed. Over 3.5 was 40% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Stockport County 47%, Leyton Orient 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Stockport County's trading profile (77 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Leyton Orient's trading profile (77 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Stockport County 1.83 PPG, Leyton Orient 1.45 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Stockport County (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.67 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.08 average — tighter than their form line. Leyton Orient (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.46 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.62 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights