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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Stockport County's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Stockport County and Charlton finished level at 0-0 at Edgeley Park, Regular Season - 36, in the League One. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Stockport County 1.39 xG and Charlton 1.28 xG, a combined 2.67. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Stockport County fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Charlton landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stockport County attack 1.09 / defence 0.94 against Charlton attack 1.18 / defence 1.00, drawn from 35/80 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Stockport County 39% | Draw 27% | Charlton 34%, with Stockport County to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Stockport County 50%, Charlton 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Stockport County's trading profile (80 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Charlton's trading profile (80 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Stockport County arrived the stronger side — 1.91 PPG against 1.40. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Stockport County (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.97 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.85 average — tighter than their form line. Charlton (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights