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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

38%

Stevenage

2.62

27%

Draw

3.71

35%

Plymouth

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.51

1.22

Plymouth xG

38%
27%
35%
StevenageDrawPlymouth

2.62

38%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

30%

Stevenage

3.39

28%

Plymouth

3.62

Win to Nil

11%

Stevenage

8.88

10%

Plymouth

10.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.9 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.287
λ Away (xG) 1.220
Total xG 2.507
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.137
Stevenage attack strength 0.877
Stevenage defence strength 0.906
Plymouth attack strength 1.183
Plymouth defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 23