Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

53%

Stevenage

1.90

22%

Draw

4.57

25%

Crawley Town

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

2 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Stevenage xG

Total xG

3.35

1.34

Crawley Town xG

53%
22%
25%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town

1.90

53%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

26%

Stevenage

3.83

13%

Crawley Town

7.43

Win to Nil

14%

Stevenage

7.28

3%

Crawley Town

29.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.7 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.0 9.5 6.4 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.5 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.7 6.3 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.006
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 3.350
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.112
Stevenage attack strength 0.940
Stevenage defence strength 1.077
Crawley Town attack strength 1.123
Crawley Town defence strength 1.663
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 40