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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stevenage Win
44%
2.26
30%
3.37
26%
3.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Stevenage xG
Total xG
2.06
0.85
Cardiff xG
StevenageDrawCardiff
2.26
44%
Home win
3.37
30%
Draw
3.83
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.48
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
43%
2.35
30%
3.35
Win to Nil
19%
5.31
8%
12.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.4 | 13.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.3 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.208
λ Away (xG)
0.854
Total xG
2.062
League avg home goals
1.269
League avg away goals
1.073
Stevenage attack strength
0.945
Stevenage defence strength
0.784
Cardiff attack strength
1.016
Cardiff defence strength
1.007
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 17