Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

37%

Stevenage

2.72

33%

Draw

3.03

30%

Burton Albion

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Stevenage xG

Total xG

1.78

0.83

Burton Albion xG

37%
33%
30%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion

2.72

37%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.88

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

43%

Stevenage

2.30

39%

Burton Albion

2.59

Win to Nil

16%

Stevenage

6.27

12%

Burton Albion

8.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 14.0 5.8 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 16.0 13.3 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 7.6 6.3 2.6 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.950
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 1.784
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.113
Stevenage attack strength 0.835
Stevenage defence strength 0.791
Burton Albion attack strength 0.947
Burton Albion defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65