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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Croud Meadow

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shrewsbury Win

44%

Shrewsbury

2.25

25%

Draw

3.98

30%

Northampton

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Shrewsbury xG

Total xG

2.76

1.23

Northampton xG

44%
25%
30%
ShrewsburyDrawNorthampton

2.25

44%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

29%

Shrewsbury

3.41

22%

Northampton

4.64

Win to Nil

13%

Shrewsbury

7.68

7%

Northampton

15.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.8 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.7 11.9 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.8 4.7 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.535
λ Away (xG) 1.227
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.158
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.871
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.278
Northampton attack strength 0.829
Northampton defence strength 1.384
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 68