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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

The Croud Meadow

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

32%

Shrewsbury

3.11

32%

Draw

3.15

36%

Burton Albion

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Shrewsbury xG

Total xG

1.97

1.02

Burton Albion xG

32%
32%
36%
ShrewsburyDrawBurton Albion

3.11

32%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

36%

Shrewsbury

2.79

39%

Burton Albion

2.58

Win to Nil

12%

Shrewsbury

8.67

14%

Burton Albion

7.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 14.2 7.3 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.3 6.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.949
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 1.974
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.110
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.812
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.185
Burton Albion attack strength 0.780
Burton Albion defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82