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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Aesseal New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

51%

Rotherham

1.97

25%

Draw

4.08

25%

Port Vale

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.76

1.09

Port Vale xG

51%
25%
25%
RotherhamDrawPort Vale

1.97

51%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

34%

Rotherham

2.98

19%

Port Vale

5.30

Win to Nil

17%

Rotherham

5.89

5%

Port Vale

21.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.5 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.6 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.093
Total xG 2.761
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.172
Rotherham attack strength 1.056
Rotherham defence strength 1.097
Port Vale attack strength 0.850
Port Vale defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 0