Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

51%

Rotherham

1.97

27%

Draw

3.68

22%

Exeter City

4.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.33

0.87

Exeter City xG

51%
27%
22%
RotherhamDrawExeter City

1.97

51%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

4.54

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

42%

Rotherham

2.39

23%

Exeter City

4.33

Win to Nil

21%

Rotherham

4.70

5%

Exeter City

19.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.4 3.7 1.1 0.2
1 14.2 12.3 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 9.0 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.465
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 2.335
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.110
Rotherham attack strength 1.066
Rotherham defence strength 1.007
Exeter City attack strength 0.779
Exeter City defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 81