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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

40%

Rotherham

2.51

26%

Draw

3.78

34%

Bolton

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.62

1.24

Bolton xG

40%
26%
34%
RotherhamDrawBolton

2.51

40%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

29%

Rotherham

3.47

25%

Bolton

3.96

Win to Nil

12%

Rotherham

8.69

8%

Bolton

11.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.0 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 1.243
Total xG 2.620
League avg home goals 1.235
League avg away goals 1.161
Rotherham attack strength 0.977
Rotherham defence strength 0.991
Bolton attack strength 1.081
Bolton defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 69